According to the Virginia Public Access Project (VPAP), a nonpartisan nonprofit that provides accessible financial and campaign information for elections, Trump decreased the Democrats' lead on him in the county this year. In 2020, President Joe Biden won the county with 63% of the vote share, while Trump only took 36% of the vote share. In 2024, Vice President Kamala Harris (D) won the county with 57% of the vote share, and Trump captured 40% of the vote.
Trump performed best in certain parts of the county, as is shown in the chart above. His best performance — or precincts where he commanded a larger, more comfortable lead — were Independent Hill, Brentsville, Nokesville, Catharpin, Gravely and Evergreen. In each of these precincts, Trump captured more than 60% of the vote share of Election Day voters.